Macro
Inflation, growth, employment, policy rates and the Treasury curve. Published by the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED).
Key Indicators
Source: FRED| Indicator | Latest | Previous | YoY | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|
US CPI (YoY) Published as an index; the figure shown is the change on a year earlier. | 3.7% | 3.5% | +3.7% | 2026-08-01 |
US Core CPI (YoY) Excludes food and energy. Published as an index; shown year-over-year. | 2.8% | 2.8% | +2.8% | 2026-08-01 |
US Unemployment | 4.2% | 4.1% | -2.3% | 2026-09-01 |
US Nonfarm Payrolls Published as a level; the figure shown is the change on the month. | +29K | +133K | +0.3% | 2026-09-01 |
US Real GDP Chained 2017 dollars. | 24,408.0 | 24,274.4 | +8.1% | 2026-04-01 |
Fed Funds Rate | 3.75% | 3.63% | -11.1% | 2026-09-01 |
2Y Treasury Yield | 4.75% | 4.77% | +0.8% | 2026-10-08 |
10Y Treasury Yield | 5.22% | 5.28% | +5.2% | 2026-10-08 |
10Y minus 2Y Spread Negative readings are an inverted curve. | 0.44% | 0.47% | +69.2% | 2026-10-09 |
Dollar Index (broad) | 121.38 | 121.79 | +2.1% | 2026-10-02 |
ECB Deposit Rate | 2.50% | 2.50% | +0.0% | 2026-10-09 |
US Treasury Yield Curve
Upward sloping4.141M
4.233M
4.306M
4.441Y
4.752Y
4.995Y
5.117Y
5.2210Y
5.6420Y
5.6030Y
Macro coverage
BREAKING
Fed Signals Cautious Approach as Inflation Shows Renewed Stickiness
Federal Reserve officials indicate a data-dependent approach as inflation remains elevated. Markets price in fewer rate cuts for 2026 amid persistent price pressures.
Central Banks
Fed Signals Patience on Rate Cuts
Officials emphasize data dependence as inflation remains above target.
Macro
US Economic Data Shows Resilience
Jobless claims fall below expectations, signaling a still-strong labor market.